Our Accuracy

Every prediction we publish is locked with a timestamp before kickoff and graded after. This page is generated from that ledger, so it shows the misses too.

season starts Aug 21
0
games graded
111
locked, not yet played
Why this page exists. Anyone can claim an accuracy number after the season. We write each pick to an append-only ledger before the game is played, then grade it against the final score. The tier table below is the real test: each confidence level promised a hit rate based on 2025, and this shows what it is actually delivering in 2026.

Confidence tiers: promised vs actual

TierPromisedActual 2026Record
TOSS-UP61%no games yet
LEAN77%no games yet
FAVORED85%no games yet
STRONG92%no games yet
HEAVY96%no games yet

Game log

No games graded yet. 111 predictions are locked and waiting on kickoff.